Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Walker M.
Own Goal
36'
36'
McCready J.
37'
37'
Tosh L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-1, with Limavady advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limavady
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Limavady carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Limavady's way, sitting at 80%.
- Limavady have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Limavady, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Limavady Clean Sheet 20%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Limavady | Tobermore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 2.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2023 Irish League Cup
Limavady vs Tobermore
6:1
Dec 6, 2014 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Tobermore
1:3
Mar 9, 2013 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Limavady
3:3
Oct 20, 2012 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Tobermore
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Limavady
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Limavady Compare
Top Goalscorer McCready J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Tosh L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Tobermore Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Limavady 76 / 100
Tobermore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Limavady Tobermore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Limavady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tobermore let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Limavady found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Tobermore's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Limavady VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Limavady
(Home) 15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0 Limavady
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0 Strabane Athletic
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1 Linfield
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1 Institute
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0 Strabane Athletic
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1 Linfield
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1 Institute
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 4
Tobermore
(Away) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
31 Jul
Newry City
2 : 1 Tobermore
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Limavady 6
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Portadown -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Annagh -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
PSNI 0
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Lisburn Distillery 0
Coleraine 2
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Dundela 0
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Portadown 4
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 5
Annagh 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 3
Ballyclare 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 1
Cliftonville 3
Institute 0
Carrick Rangers 4
Moyola 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Newry City 2
Ballinamallard 1
Ards 5
Larne 9
Knockbreda 1
Dollingstown 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Queens University 1
1/8-finals
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Limavady 0
Glenavon 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 1
Annagh 0
Loughgall 1
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 3
Ards 3
Larne 5
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Larne 2
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Glenavon 0
Portadown 1
Dungannon 1
Linfield 2
Final
Portadown 1
Linfield 3
