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Limavady vs Warrenpoint

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Butcher J.
28' Event
Boyd L.
42' Event
Butcher J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Limavady and Warrenpoint finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Limavady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Limavady
15%
Draws
46%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Warrenpoint haven't matched Limavady's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Warrenpoint taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Limavady Clean Sheet 15%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Warrenpoint
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Warrenpoint
4:1
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Limavady
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Warrenpoint
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Nov 9, 2021 Irish League Cup
Warrenpoint vs Limavady
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer Butcher J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boyd L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Warrenpoint Compare

Top Goalscorer Leddy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 19 / 100
Warrenpoint 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Limavady scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Warrenpoint let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Limavady stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Warrenpoint
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
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