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Limonest vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Singoura M.
90' Event
Gueye C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Limonest and Toulon finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Limonest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Limonest
30%
Draws
42%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limonest come out ahead of Toulon on wins alone.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Limonest Clean Sheet 68%
Toulon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limonest Toulon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Toulon
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Limonest
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Singoura M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toulon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limonest 41 / 100
Toulon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limonest Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Toulon conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Limonest found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Limonest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Limonest VS Toulon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Limonest

(Home)
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 2
Limonest
18 Apr
Limonest
2 : 0
Toulon
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Toulon

(Away)
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
16 May
Toulon
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)