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Linares vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Sanhaji M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Alonso A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Linares
30%
Draws
47%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaen have won more games recently than Linares.
  • Model gives Jaen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Linares Clean Sheet 16%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linares Jaen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Linares vs Jaen
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Jaen
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Linares
0:1
Jul 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Linares vs Jaen
0:1
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Linares vs Jaen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares 28 / 100
Jaen 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linares Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jaen conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Linares remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Linares VS Jaen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linares

(Home)
26 Sept
Betis B
4 : 0
Linares
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)