Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linares vs La Union (Malacitano)

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Riera R.
67' Event
Davila Y.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Linares and La Union (Malacitano) finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Union (Malacitano).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Linares
20%
Draws
34%
La Union (Malacitano)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Union (Malacitano) come out ahead of Linares on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors La Union (Malacitano) here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Linares Clean Sheet 68%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linares La Union (Malacitano)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Linares
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Linares
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Top Goalscorer Riera R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davila Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares 41 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linares La Union (Malacitano)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano) let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Linares's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Linares went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linares VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linares

(Home)
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 6

La Union (Malacitano)

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)