Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lincoln City vs Burnley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship LNER stadium, Lincoln
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lincoln City host Burnley in the Championship. This has Lincoln City written all over it on paper. Lincoln City have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Burnley's 1.1 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Lincoln City slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2017, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Lincoln City. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lincoln City
30%
Draws
35%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Burnley haven't matched Lincoln City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Burnley a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 19%
Burnley Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln City Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 2
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 FA Cup
Burnley vs Lincoln City
0:1
Jan 30, 1999 League One
Lincoln City vs Burnley
1:1
Dec 28, 1998 League One
Burnley vs Lincoln City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln City 10 / 100
Burnley 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln City Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Lincoln City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Lincoln City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln City VS Burnley
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln City

(Home)
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
10 Oct
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0
Lincoln City
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

Burnley

(Away)
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4
Burnley
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16:7 23
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 20:14 21
3 West Ham 10 5 4 1 29:12 19
4 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17:11 17
5 QPR 10 4 5 1 15:9 17
6 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12:10 17
7 Southampton 10 6 2 2 21:10 16
8 Stoke City 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
9 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
10 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10:13 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
15 Sheffield Utd 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
16 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
17 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11:15 11
18 Lincoln City 10 3 2 5 7:17 11
19 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16:15 10
20 Norwich 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15:19 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8:19 8
23 Derby 10 1 3 6 9:19 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)