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Linense vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Matheus Mancini
29' Event
Azevedo F.
85' Event
Bruno Mezenga
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Linense and Ituano finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Linense
15%
Draws
16%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ituano come out ahead of Linense on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Linense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ituano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linense Ituano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Linense vs Ituano
1:3
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Linense
3:0
Mar 22, 2017 Paulista
Ituano vs Linense
5:1
Jul 30, 2016 Serie D
Ituano vs Linense
1:0
Jul 24, 2016 Serie D
Linense vs Ituano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Mancini
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linense 95 / 100
Ituano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linense Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Linense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Linense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ituano let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Linense VS Ituano
1.83 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Linense

(Home)
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
03 Aug
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Linense
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Ituano

(Away)
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)