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Linfield vs Carrick Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Burns B. In: Nelson K.
Out: Burns B.
43'
Sub
Snoddy M. In: Cherry K.
Out: Snoddy M.
49'
Callacher J.

AI Match Summary

Linfield in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Linfield
30%
Draws
32%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Linfield lately — more wins on the board than Carrick Rangers.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Linfield Clean Sheet 18%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
2:2
Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 36 / 100
Carrick Rangers 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Linfield found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Carrick Rangers has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Carrick Rangers
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Linfield
2 : 0
Bangor FC
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
24 Oct
Carrick Rangers
1 : 1
Limavady
20 Oct
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Newry City
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 13 11 1 1 31:12 34
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
4 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 12 4 1 7 12:18 13
11 Portadown 13 2 2 9 11:23 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)