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Linfield vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Burns B. In: Nelson K.
Out: Burns B.
42'
Sub
Snoddy M. In: Cherry K.
Out: Snoddy M.
49'
Callacher J.

AI Match Summary

Linfield in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Linfield
15%
Draws
36%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Linfield.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Linfield taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Linfield Clean Sheet 12%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.59 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 35 / 100
Carrick Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Linfield scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Carrick Rangers conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Linfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Carrick Rangers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
21 Aug
Linfield
1 : 0
Cliftonville
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
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Carrick Rangers

(Away)
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
2 Dungannon 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Linfield 5 4 0 1 6:4 12
4 Cliftonville 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 Carrick Rangers 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
6 Crusaders 5 3 0 2 9:10 9
7 Glentoran 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
8 Larne 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
9 Ballymena 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Bangor FC 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
11 Limavady 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
12 Portadown 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)