Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Kilmarnock

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Coughlin C.
14' Event
Mathurin R.
17' Event
Nolan R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Linfield and Kilmarnock finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Linfield
22%
Draws
60%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Linfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kilmarnock's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kilmarnock have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
2:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jul 5, 2011 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mathurin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 18 / 100
Kilmarnock 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Linfield found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Kilmarnock let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Linfield went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Kilmarnock
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
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Kilmarnock

(Away)
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Elgin City
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
04 Jul
Linfield
2 : 3
Kilmarnock
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