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Linfield vs Kilmarnock

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Coughlin C.
14' Event
Mathurin R.
17' Event
Nolan R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Linfield and Kilmarnock finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Linfield
30%
Draws
19%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilmarnock's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what Linfield have produced (1.4).
  • Win probability leans Linfield's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kilmarnock have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Linfield Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Kilmarnock
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
2:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jul 5, 2011 Club Friendly
Linfield vs Kilmarnock
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mathurin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 85 / 100
Kilmarnock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Solid form: Linfield remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Linfield scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Kilmarnock
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
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Kilmarnock

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
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