Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs PSNI

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2021/2022 Windsor Park, Belfast
Linfield Logo

Linfield

11 - 0
FT
PSNI Logo

PSNI

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marshall C.
13' Event
Newberry M.
20' Event
Chadwick B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 11-0, with Linfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Linfield
15%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Linfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Linfield are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Linfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Linfield Clean Sheet 19%
PSNI Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield PSNI
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2021 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs PSNI
11:0
Oct 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Linfield vs PSNI
6:0
Jul 24, 2018 Club Friendly
PSNI vs Linfield
1:1
Feb 4, 2009 Irish Cup
PSNI vs Linfield
0:3
Jan 17, 2009 Irish Cup
Linfield vs PSNI
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Chadwick B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Newberry M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

PSNI Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSNI let in goals in 96% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

PSNI's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Linfield found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
Page 1 of 7

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Newry City 2
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Annagh 4
Knockbreda 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Ballyclare 2
Queens University 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
1/16-finals
Carrick Rangers 2
Dergview 1
Bangor FC 0
Coleraine 5
Glenavon 5
Portstewart 1
Glentoran 5
Banbridge 0
Newry City 1
Warrenpoint 2
Loughgall 6
Lisburn Distillery 2
Larne 4
Limavady 0
Dungannon 3
Armagh 0
Portadown 2
Newington FC 0
Dundela 0
Ballinamallard 4
Ards 4
Dollingstown 0
Cliftonville 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Crusaders 5
Moyola 0
Annagh 2
Ballymena 4
Ballyclare 0
Linfield 4
Institute 4
PSNI 3
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Loughgall 0
Limavady 3
Dungannon 2
Portadown 1
Ballinamallard 0
Ards 1
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 11
PSNI 0
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 0
Warrenpoint 6
Limavady 1
Portadown 1
Cliftonville 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 1
Semi-finals
Coleraine 6
Warrenpoint 1
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 4