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Linguere vs Casa

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Linguere
35%
Draws
41%
Casa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Linguere haven't matched Casa's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Linguere Clean Sheet 22%
Casa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linguere Casa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 16 19
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Casa
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs Linguere
3:2
Apr 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Casa
4:3
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Linguere
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Casa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linguere 37 / 100
Casa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linguere Casa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Linguere remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Linguere scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Casa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Linguere VS Casa
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linguere

(Home)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Linguere
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Casa

(Away)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)