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Linhares Futebol Clube vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Jobson
34' Event
Clavis Neto
Own Goal
47'
Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

Capixaba SC in this Copa Espirito Santo 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Linhares Futebol Clube
39%
Draws
31%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Linhares Futebol Clube have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capixaba SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linhares Futebol Clube Capixaba SC
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Capixaba SC
1:3
May 18, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Linhares Futebol Clube
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linhares Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Capixaba SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jobson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linhares Futebol Clube 31 / 100
Capixaba SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linhares Futebol Clube Capixaba SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Linhares Futebol Clube scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Capixaba SC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Linhares Futebol Clube remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Linhares Futebol Clube VS Capixaba SC
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linhares Futebol Clube

(Home)
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Oct
Serra
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
27 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Serra
20 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 0
Forte
Page 1 of 6

Capixaba SC

(Away)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES1072128:823
2Porto Vitoria1062226:1120
3Desportiva Ferroviaria1052318:1017
4Real Noroeste1051418:1316
5Capixaba SC1042412:1114
6Rio Branco-VN1042414:1414
7Serra1041521:2013
8Vilavelhense103346:1312
9Sport-ES1031611:2610
10Rio Branco ES1034320:187
11Linhares Futebol Clube100285:352
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo 2025 (Play Offs)