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Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies Prediction & H2H Stats

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lions Gibraltar in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lions Gibraltar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lions Gibraltar
30%
Draws
43%
Magpies
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magpies

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lions Gibraltar lately — more wins on the board than Magpies.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Magpies taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lions Gibraltar Clean Sheet 10%
Magpies Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lions Gibraltar Magpies
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League
Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 National League
Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 National League
Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 National League
Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Gibraltar Cup
Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lions Gibraltar 18 / 100
Magpies 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lions Gibraltar Magpies

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magpies Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lions Gibraltar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Magpies let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Lions Gibraltar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lions Gibraltar VS Magpies
2.13 Goals Scored 2.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Lions Gibraltar

(Home)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
12 Sept
Europa Point
4 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
05 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
5 : 1
Hound Dogs
29 Aug
College 1975
1 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
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Magpies

(Away)
18 Sept
College 1975
2 : 3
Magpies
11 Sept
Magpies
4 : 0
Hound Dogs
05 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 1
Magpies
29 Aug
Magpies
2 : 0
Lynx
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 22 19 2 1 79:14 59
2 St Josephs 22 19 1 2 90:10 58
3 Mons Calpe 22 15 1 6 55:24 46
4 Europa FC 22 15 1 6 44:16 46
5 Lions Gibraltar 22 12 2 8 47:34 38
6 Lynx 22 10 4 8 34:33 34
7 Magpies 22 8 2 12 22:37 26
8 Europa Point 22 7 1 14 31:61 22
9 College 1975 22 3 5 14 15:45 14
10 Glacis United 22 3 3 16 18:57 12
11 Hound Dogs 22 1 5 16 10:66 8
12 Manchester 62 22 6 1 15 29:77 7
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)