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Stadium Background

Lipno Steszew vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Piotrowski M.
3' Event
Borkowski A.
45' Event
Zaborski K.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lipno Steszew
44%
Draws
20%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Lipno Steszew have won more games recently than Blekitni Stargard.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 12%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Blekitni Stargard
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Lipno Steszew
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Borkowski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Piotrowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaborski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 35 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lipno Steszew scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Blekitni Stargard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Lipno Steszew remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Blekitni Stargard
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415