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Lipno Steszew vs Gedania Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lipno Steszew host Gedania Gdansk in the III Liga - Group II. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gedania Gdansk have shipped 2.26 goals a game lately, while Lipno Steszew have conceded 1.81 and scored 1.29. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.63 - 1.94) back Gedania Gdansk to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lipno Steszew
30%
Draws
37%
Gedania Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gedania Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gedania Gdansk's 1.87 goals per match outpaces what Lipno Steszew have produced (1.29).
  • Win probability leans Gedania Gdansk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Gedania Gdansk
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 22 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Gedania Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Lipno Steszew found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Lipno Steszew stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gedania Gdansk's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Gedania Gdansk
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipno Steszew

(Home)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 7

Gedania Gdansk

(Away)
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)