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Lipno Steszew vs Kluczevia Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
da Silva de Melo R.
38' Event
da Silva de Melo R.
60' Event
Pietrzyk K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Lipno Steszew and Kluczevia Stargard finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kluczevia Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lipno Steszew
15%
Draws
39%
Kluczevia Stargard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kluczevia Stargard come out ahead of Lipno Steszew on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lipno Steszew here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Kluczevia Stargard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:4
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lipno Steszew
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Moczynski B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva de Melo R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pietrzyk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 29 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Kluczevia Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lipno Steszew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Lipno Steszew's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kluczevia Stargard conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Lipno Steszew went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Kluczevia Stargard
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipno Steszew

(Home)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

Kluczevia Stargard

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)