Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Lipno Steszew

1 - 0

Pogon Szczecin II

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Moczynski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lipno Steszew in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lipno Steszew

Draws

90%

Pogon Szczecin II

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lipno Steszew lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Szczecin II.
Model gives Pogon Szczecin II a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lipno Steszew	Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	16	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.63	3.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Lipno Steszew vs Pogon Szczecin II

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Pogon Szczecin II vs Lipno Steszew

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Moczynski B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Avg xG / game 3.07

Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 10 / 100

Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lipno Steszew Pogon Szczecin II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pogon Szczecin II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lipno Steszew stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Pogon Szczecin II

1.63 Goals Scored 3.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15