Sport Picks
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
37'
37'
Wajman J.
44'
44'
Wilczynski J.
49'
49'
Mikita P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Lipno Steszew and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Polonia Sroda Wielkopol taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lipno Steszew | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lipno Steszew Compare
Top Goalscorer Domagalski D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rasiak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilczynski J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mikita P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lipno Steszew Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Lipno Steszew found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Lipno Steszew has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lipno Steszew VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Lipno Steszew
(Home) 10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4 Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
15 Aug
Lipno Steszew
1 : 4 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
