Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Lipno Steszew

2 - 3

Swinoujscie

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Gil D.

34'

Chrominski D.

42'

Turski H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lipno Steszew and Swinoujscie finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Lipno Steszew

Draws

Swinoujscie

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Swinoujscie on wins alone.
Win probability leans Lipno Steszew's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 17%

Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lipno Steszew	Swinoujscie
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	15	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Lipno Steszew vs Swinoujscie

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Swinoujscie vs Lipno Steszew

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasiak J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chrominski D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 84 / 100

Swinoujscie 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lipno Steszew Swinoujscie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lipno Steszew scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lipno Steszew remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Swinoujscie

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15