Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lipno Steszew vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Moczynski B.
27' Event
Ciolak B.
61' Event
Rasiak J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lipno Steszew and Unia Swarzedz finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lipno Steszew
11%
Draws
9%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Unia Swarzedz on wins alone.
  • Lipno Steszew are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lipno Steszew have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 11%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew
3:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Unia Swarzedz
4:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasiak J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moczynski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciolak B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nowak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 74 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Lipno Steszew stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Unia Swarzedz
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415