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Lipuli vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kheri A.
80' Event
Materaz P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lipuli
20%
Draws
52%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Lipuli.
  • Model gives Azam a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 17%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipuli Azam
Matches Played 30 50
Wins 9 36
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.98
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Azam
1:1
Jan 15, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Lipuli
2:0
Feb 11, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Azam
1:1
Sep 28, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Lipuli
0:0
Feb 16, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Azam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Materaz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kheri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipuli 15 / 100
Azam 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipuli Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lipuli scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Lipuli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Azam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 32% of 50 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Azam
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipuli

(Home)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

Azam

(Away)
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)