Sport Picks
Lipuli vs Biashara Mara United Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 
Match Events
24'
24'
Nonga P.
AI Match Summary
Lipuli in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lipuli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lipuli lately — more wins on the board than Biashara Mara United.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 23%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lipuli | Biashara Mara United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Biashara Mara United
1:0
Nov 26, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Lipuli
1:0
Apr 30, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Lipuli
3:0
Dec 3, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Biashara Mara United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lipuli Compare
Top Goalscorer Nonga P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Biashara Mara United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lipuli 37 / 100
Biashara Mara United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lipuli Biashara Mara United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lipuli scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Biashara Mara United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Lipuli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Biashara Mara United
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lipuli
(Home) 26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1 Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0 Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1 Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1 Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0 Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1 Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
14 Mar
Lipuli
0 : 1 Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 3
Biashara Mara United
(Away) 16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 7
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
18 Jun
Geita Gold
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
14 Jun
Kagera Sugar
0 : 0 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
