Sport Picks

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Lipuli vs Ndanda

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nonga P.
22' Event
Mponda O.
48' Event
Mayanga V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lipuli
30%
Draws
29%
Ndanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lipuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lipuli have won more games recently than Ndanda.
  • Model gives Lipuli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 20%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipuli Ndanda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Ndanda
3:3
Oct 23, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Lipuli
1:1
May 22, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Lipuli
1:1
Dec 29, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Ndanda
0:0
Mar 4, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Ndanda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Nonga P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sekule F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ndanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayanga V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mponda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipuli 42 / 100
Ndanda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipuli Ndanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipuli found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Lipuli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ndanda let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lipuli VS Ndanda
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipuli

(Home)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
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Ndanda

(Away)
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1
Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0
JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)