Sport Picks

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Lipuli vs Young Africans

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Molinga D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Lipuli and Young Africans finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lipuli
20%
Draws
52%
Young Africans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Africans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Young Africans a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Young Africans have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 12%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipuli Young Africans
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 9 40
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.07 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Young Africans
0:1
Feb 5, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Lipuli
2:1
Mar 16, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Young Africans
1:0
Oct 30, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Lipuli
1:0
Feb 3, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Young Africans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Molinga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipuli 10 / 100
Young Africans 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipuli Young Africans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipuli found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lipuli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Young Africans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 35% of 48 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Young Africans
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipuli

(Home)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
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Young Africans

(Away)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)