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Stadium Background

Lisburn Distillery vs Banbridge

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Francisco M.
45' Event
Clarke S.
63' Event
Lynch J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lisburn Distillery
15%
Draws
0%
Banbridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Banbridge haven't matched Lisburn Distillery's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lisburn Distillery's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lisburn Distillery have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lisburn Distillery, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%
Banbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Distillery Banbridge
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.3 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Irish League Cup
Lisburn Distillery vs Banbridge
3:2
Jan 17, 2009 Irish Cup
Banbridge vs Lisburn Distillery
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisburn Distillery Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crawford C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Banbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Distillery 83 / 100
Banbridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Distillery Banbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Banbridge lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Distillery found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Distillery VS Banbridge
0.75 Goals Scored 0.29
4.63 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
88% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisburn Distillery

(Home)
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3
Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2
Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1
Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Banbridge

(Away)
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
30 Nov
Knockbreda
3 : 0
Banbridge
13 Aug
Ballymacash
3 : 0
Banbridge
19 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 1
Coagh Utd
05 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1