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Lisburn Distillery vs Cliftonville

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gallagher C.
3' Event
Wilson B.
14' Event
Doherty R.

AI Match Summary

Lisburn Distillery host Cliftonville in the Club Friendly 2023. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cliftonville have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Lisburn Distillery have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Cliftonville slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2023, ending 0:9. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.18) point toward Cliftonville. Cliftonville in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lisburn Distillery
33%
Draws
27%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cliftonville has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lisburn Distillery.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Lisburn Distillery.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 68%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Distillery Cliftonville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Lisburn Distillery vs Cliftonville
0:9
Aug 28, 2018 Irish League Cup
Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery
5:1
Aug 30, 2016 Irish League Cup
Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery
11:1
Feb 2, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery
4:0
Nov 26, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisburn Distillery Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer Hale R.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Gallagher C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Distillery 50 / 100
Cliftonville 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Distillery Cliftonville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisburn Distillery scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cliftonville let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Lisburn Distillery went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cliftonville lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cliftonville
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%