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Stadium Background

Lisburn Rangers vs Lisburn Distillery - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisburn Distillery in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lisburn Rangers
15%
Draws
46%
Lisburn Distillery
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lisburn Distillery haven't matched Lisburn Rangers's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Lisburn Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lisburn Distillery, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lisburn Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Rangers Lisburn Distillery
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.26 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.56 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 Irish Cup
Lisburn Rangers vs Lisburn Distillery
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Rangers 30 / 100
Lisburn Distillery 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Rangers Lisburn Distillery

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lisburn Distillery conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Lisburn Rangers's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lisburn Rangers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Rangers VS Lisburn Distillery
2.75 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisburn Rangers

(Home)
10 Jan
Limavady
4 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
27 Jul
Lisburn Rangers
4 : 1
Ballymena
25 Nov
Warrenpoint
6 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
02 Nov
Rathfriland Rangers
3 : 0
Lisburn Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Lisburn Distillery

(Away)
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3
Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2
Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1
Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St Luke's -
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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TBD -
Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
TBD -
Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0