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Lisse vs Dongen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisse host Dongen in the Derde Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dongen have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Lisse have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Lisse have won 2 to Dongen's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2017, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.63) back Lisse to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lisse
20%
Draws
23%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lisse's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lisse Clean Sheet 14%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse Dongen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Dongen
2:1
May 17, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Dongen vs Lisse
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 66 / 100
Dongen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lisse scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Dongen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lisse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS Dongen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
10 Oct
Lisse
2 : 0
Rijnvogels
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
Page 1 of 6

Dongen

(Away)
11 Oct
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 0
Dongen
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2
Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:7 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
6 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
7 GOES 9 4 2 3 17:19 14
8 Dongen 9 4 1 4 21:21 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 Groene Ster 9 2 3 4 14:21 9
14 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
15 TOGB 9 2 2 5 13:21 8
16 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)