Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lisse in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lisse have won more games recently than Excelsior Maassluis.
- Win probability leans Lisse's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lisse Clean Sheet 16%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse
5:0
Aug 26, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 39 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse Excelsior Maassluis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse scored in 91% of their last 32 games.
Excelsior Maassluis let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lisse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS Excelsior Maassluis
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1 Lisse
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
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29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
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Excelsior Maassluis
(Away) 01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
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01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
03 Jun
Rijnvogels
2 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genemuiden | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 5 | VV Scherpenzeel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Purmersteijn | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 7 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 8 | TEC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Sportlust | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Sparta Nijkerk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:12 | 5 |
| 11 | VV DOVO | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 12 | VV Hoogeveen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 13 | Eemdijk | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 15 | HVV Hollandia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10:14 | 1 |
| 16 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 17 | SVZW Wierden | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 1 |
| 18 | USV Hercules | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisse | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 10 |
| 3 | SV Poortugaal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Dongen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Rijnvogels | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 8 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 7 | UNA | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Roosendaal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Excelsior Maassluis | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 10 | GOES | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | VVSB | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 12 | VV Zwaluwen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Gemert | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Achilles Veen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 15 | TOGB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 2 |
| 16 | Blauw Geel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Groene Ster | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
