Sport Picks
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Lisse in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lisse have won more games recently than Excelsior Maassluis.
- Win probability leans Lisse's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 12%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse
5:0
Aug 26, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 40 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse Excelsior Maassluis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Excelsior Maassluis let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lisse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS Excelsior Maassluis
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 18 Oct
GOES
2 : 6 Lisse
10 Oct
Lisse
2 : 0 Rijnvogels
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Lisse
2 : 0 Rijnvogels
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior Maassluis
(Away) 17 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
10 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:29 | 10 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
