Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U17 vs Latvia U17

World World

Friendly International 2025 EJL TNTK jalgpallivaljak, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mikutis E.
23' Event
Menniks M.
28' Event
Bombans G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Lithuania U17 and Latvia U17 finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lithuania U17
30%
Draws
47%
Latvia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latvia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lithuania U17 haven't matched Latvia U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Latvia U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U17 Latvia U17
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
5:1
Jun 29, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Latvia U17
4:5
Mar 13, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Latvia U17
1:1
Jun 26, 2024 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
2:2
Jul 2, 2023 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikutis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brotzmann G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Latvia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bombans G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanovskis-Pigits E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U17 10 / 100
Latvia U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U17 Latvia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Latvia U17 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Lithuania U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U17 VS Latvia U17
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U17

(Home)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
30 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 3
Bulgaria U17
27 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U17
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Finland U17
5 : 1
Latvia U17
30 Jun
Latvia U17
3 : 0
Estonia U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
03 Jun
Latvia U17
2 : 2
Albania U17
Page 1 of 6