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Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17

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Euro U17 2025 Seaview
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AI Match Summary

Lithuania U17 play Northern Ireland U17 in the Euro U17 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lithuania U17 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Northern Ireland U17 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Lithuania U17 won 1, Northern Ireland U17 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 4, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Lithuania U17 and 1.63 for Northern Ireland U17. This points to a Lithuania U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lithuania U17
23%
Draws
28%
Northern Ireland U17
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Lithuania U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Lithuania U17 picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Northern Ireland U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U17 Northern Ireland U17
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2024 Euro U17
Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Piazenko R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buikus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Northern Ireland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGovern P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U17 47 / 100
Northern Ireland U17 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U17 Northern Ireland U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lithuania U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lithuania U17 attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Northern Ireland U17 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lithuania U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U17330012:29
2Sweden U1732019:56
3Latvia U1731025:73
4Malta U1730031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Poland U17321013:27
2Slovenia U1732105:37
3Georgia U1731024:63
4Armenia U1730031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia U17321011:27
2Netherlands U17320112:36
3Albania U1731112:64
4Faroe Islands U1730030:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium U1733007:39
2Ukraine U1732018:46
3Kosovo U1730127:101
4Kazakhstan U1730125:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal U17330019:39
2Finland U17311111:74
3Bosnia & Herzegovina U17311110:64
4Liechtenstein U1730030:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Greece U1732108:27
2Hungary U1731206:25
3Romania U1730211:42
4Azerbaijan U1730121:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czech Republic U17321014:37
2Germany U17321015:57
3Belarus U1731025:123
4Andorra U1730031:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Northern Ireland U1732017:56
2Ireland U1731116:54
3Lithuania U1731116:54
4Scotland U1731023:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U17330016:09
2Norway U1732017:106
3Wales U1731029:83
4San Marino U1730030:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland U1732109:27
2Israel U1731207:35
3Montenegro U1731114:44
4Moldova U1730030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U1733009:09
2Slovakia U17320110:36
3Cyprus U1731028:53
4Gibraltar U1730030:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17321011:27
2Iceland U1732109:47
3North Macedonia U1731025:113
4Estonia U1730033:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Serbia U1721103:14
2Turkey U1721102:14
3Bulgaria U1720020:30
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U1721102:14
2Denmark U1721013:13
3Luxembourg U1720111:41