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Lithuania U17 W vs Ireland U17 W

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Euro U17 Women 2025 VFA-Hanner stadionas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lithuania U17 W play Ireland U17 W in the Euro U17 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lithuania U17 W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Ireland U17 W averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Lithuania U17 W won 0, Ireland U17 W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Lithuania U17 W and 2.31 for Ireland U17 W. This points to a Ireland U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lithuania U17 W
15%
Draws
55%
Ireland U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ireland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Lithuania U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Ireland U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Lithuania U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Ireland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U17 W Ireland U17 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.33 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Lithuania U17 W vs Ireland U17 W
1:2
Sep 13, 2019 Euro U17 Women
Ireland U17 W vs Lithuania U17 W
6:0
Oct 17, 2014 Euro U17 Women
Ireland U17 W vs Lithuania U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapaite J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ireland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Butler A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U17 W 29 / 100
Ireland U17 W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U17 W Ireland U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ireland U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lithuania U17 W attacking → ← attacking Ireland U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ireland U17 W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Lithuania U17 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ireland U17 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 43
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro U17 W32106:37
2Estonia U17 W30305:53
3Northern Ireland U17 W30215:62
4Kazakhstan U17 W30215:72
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bulgaria U17 W320111:36
2Luxembourg U17 W320110:46
3Malta U17 W31022:103
4Azerbaijan U17 W31023:93
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belarus U17 W321011:27
2Andorra U17 W32102:07
3Israel U17 W31025:53
4Albania U17 W30031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Romania U17 W22004:06
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W21012:23
3Latvia U17 W20020:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ireland U17 W22008:56
2Lithuania U17 W21015:53
3Faroe Islands U17 W20027:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Macedonia U17 W22006:06
2Slovenia U17 W21012:23
3Moldova U17 W20021:70