Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Dolznikov A.
80' Event
Vareika M.

AI Match Summary

The Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 game between Lithuania U18 and Moldova U18 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Lithuania U18
30%
Draws
8%
Moldova U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Moldova U18 haven't matched Lithuania U18's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lithuania U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Moldova U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U18 Moldova U18
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2018 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18
2:0
Jan 15, 2017 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18
2:3
Jan 4, 2015 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Moldova U18 vs Lithuania U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolznikov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vareika M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Moldova U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U18 85 / 100
Moldova U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U18 Moldova U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moldova U18 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U18 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Moldova U18 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U18 VS Moldova U18
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U18

(Home)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
Page 1 of 6

Moldova U18

(Away)
07 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 2
Romania U18
05 Sept
Moldova U18
1 : 1
Romania U18
19 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 0
Moldova U18
17 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 1
Moldova U18
10 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 5
Romania U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg U18 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Turkey U18 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Kyrgyzstan U18 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Kazakhstan U18 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Relegation - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania U18 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Russia U18 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Moldova U18 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Armenia U18 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Relegation - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 (Play Offs)