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Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai, Druskininkai
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sasnauskas D.
64' Event
Geragusian F.
80'
Aliukonis J.

AI Match Summary

Armenia U19 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Armenia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lithuania U19
35%
Draws
39%
Armenia U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Armenia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lithuania U19 have won more games recently than Armenia U19.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Armenia U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Armenia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U19 Armenia U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:2
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
2:0
Aug 24, 2022 Friendly International
Armenia U19 vs Lithuania U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasnauskas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Armenia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Geragusian F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U19 28 / 100
Armenia U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U19 Armenia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armenia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armenia U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania U19 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U19 VS Armenia U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U19

(Home)
02 Oct
Albania U19
2 : 1
Lithuania U19
30 Sept
Albania U19
3 : 2
Lithuania U19
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
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Armenia U19

(Away)
02 Oct
Armenia U19
1 : 1
Estonia U19
30 Mar
Gibraltar U19
0 : 9
Armenia U19
27 Mar
Turkey U19
1 : 1
Armenia U19
24 Mar
Armenia U19
1 : 1
Kosovo U19
14 Oct
Kosovo U19
3 : 0
Armenia U19
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