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Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Hovhannisyan K.
77' Event
Jansonas R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Lithuania U19 and Armenia U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lithuania U19
30%
Draws
29%
Armenia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lithuania U19 come out ahead of Armenia U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lithuania U19 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Armenia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U19 Armenia U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:2
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Armenia U19
2:0
Aug 24, 2022 Friendly International
Armenia U19 vs Lithuania U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansonas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Armenia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovhannisyan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U19 85 / 100
Armenia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U19 Armenia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armenia U19 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania U19 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U19 VS Armenia U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U19

(Home)
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
25 Mar
Azerbaijan U19
0 : 4
Lithuania U19
18 Nov
Lithuania U19
1 : 2
Latvia U19
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Armenia U19

(Away)
30 Mar
Gibraltar U19
0 : 9
Armenia U19
27 Mar
Turkey U19
1 : 1
Armenia U19
24 Mar
Armenia U19
1 : 1
Kosovo U19
14 Oct
Kosovo U19
3 : 0
Armenia U19
11 Oct
Norway U19
4 : 0
Armenia U19
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