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Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, Kaunas
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Match Events

16'
Zaleiko G.
27' Event
Melnis B.
29'
Kragliks R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Lithuania U21 and Latvia U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lithuania U21
33%
Draws
40%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lithuania U21 haven't matched Latvia U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Latvia U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Latvia U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup U21
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
2:2
Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
0:2
Jun 6, 2024 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Baltic Cup U21
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
1:2
Jun 9, 2019 Friendly International
Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnis B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jamonts K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U21 27 / 100
Latvia U21 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lithuania U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lithuania U21 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U21 VS Latvia U21
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
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Latvia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
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