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Lithuania vs Andorra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Cucu
21' Event
Ruzgis M.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Steponavicius F.
Assist: Jankauskas E.

AI Match Summary

Lithuania in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lithuania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lithuania
20%
Draws
10%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lithuania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lithuania have won more games recently than Andorra.
  • Model gives Lithuania a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lithuania here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 68%
Andorra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania Andorra
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 0.89 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Friendly International
Lithuania vs Andorra
3:0
Feb 11, 2009 Friendly International
Lithuania vs Andorra
3:1
Jun 29, 1998 Friendly International
Lithuania vs Andorra
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kucys A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania 95 / 100
Andorra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania Andorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Lithuania found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Lithuania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania VS Andorra
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)
04 Oct
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Lithuania
30 Sept
Lithuania
3 : 0
Andorra
27 Sept
Lithuania
1 : 1
Azerbaijan
24 Sept
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Lithuania
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
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Andorra

(Away)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
30 Sept
Lithuania
3 : 0
Andorra
27 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Andorra
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
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