Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas

Lithuania

2 - 2

Finland

Our Tip

Match Events

Kairinen K.

16'

Girdvainis E.

17'

Pohjanpalo J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Lithuania and Finland finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Lithuania

15%

Draws

42%

Finland

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lithuania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Lithuania haven't matched Finland's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Lithuania Clean Sheet 15%

Finland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lithuania	Finland
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	6	9
Draws	5	2
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	0.82	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 World Championship

Finland vs Lithuania

2:1

Mar 24, 2025 World Championship

Lithuania vs Finland

2:2

May 29, 2014 Baltic Cup

Finland vs Lithuania

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gineitis G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kairinen K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania 35 / 100

Finland 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lithuania Finland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Finland's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania VS Finland

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)

09 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Lithuania

06 Jun

Lithuania

2 : 1

Latvia

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Moldova

0 : 2

Lithuania

17 Nov

Netherlands

4 : 0

Lithuania

Page 1 of 6

Finland

(Away)

05 Jun

Hungary

2 : 1

Finland

31 May

Germany

4 : 0

Finland

30 Mar

Cape Verde

2 : 1

Finland

27 Mar

New Zealand

0 : 2

Finland

17 Nov

Finland

4 : 0

Andorra

Page 1 of 6