Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Kucys A.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Marin R.
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Slivka V.
AI Match Summary
Romania in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Romania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Romania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Romania have won more games recently than Lithuania.
- Romania are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Romania here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 13%
Romania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lithuania | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:1
Nov 17, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:0
Oct 11, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
Mar 23, 2016 Friendly International
Romania vs Lithuania
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lithuania Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Romania Compare
Top Goalscorer Dragus D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lithuania 22 / 100
Romania 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lithuania Romania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Romania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Romania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Lithuania found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Lithuania stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lithuania VS Romania
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lithuania
(Home) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
13 Nov
Lithuania
0 : 0 Israel
12 Oct
Lithuania
0 : 2 Poland
07 Sept
Lithuania
2 : 3 Netherlands
Page 1 of 3
Romania
(Away) 06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1 Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0 Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0 Romania
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1 San Marino
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1 Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0 Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0 Romania
15 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Romania
09 Sept
Cyprus
2 : 2 Romania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
