Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania W vs Azerbaijan W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Žalgirio stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Manya E.
54'
Sub
Zizyte L. In: Kubiliute L.
Out: Zizyte L.
55' Event
Mirzaliyeva N.
Assist: Dorofeyeva A.

AI Match Summary

Azerbaijan W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azerbaijan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lithuania W
20%
Draws
42%
Azerbaijan W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azerbaijan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Azerbaijan W have won more games recently than Lithuania W.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 68%
Azerbaijan W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Azerbaijan W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Azerbaijan W vs Lithuania W
0:5
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Lithuania W vs Azerbaijan W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Azerbaijan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Manya E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mirzaliyeva N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 50 / 100
Azerbaijan W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Azerbaijan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Azerbaijan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Lithuania W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Lithuania W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Azerbaijan W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Azerbaijan W

(Away)
09 Jun
North Macedonia W
1 : 3
Azerbaijan W
05 Jun
Azerbaijan W
1 : 2
Hungary W
18 Apr
Azerbaijan W
2 : 0
Andorra W
14 Apr
Andorra W
1 : 3
Azerbaijan W
07 Mar
Hungary W
1 : 0
Azerbaijan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams