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Stadium Background

Lithuania W vs Estonia W

World World

World Cup Women Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kubassova V. In: Volkov J.
Out: Kubassova V.
55'
Rosen K.
60'
Sub
Salei A. In: Teern K.
Out: Salei A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lithuania W
30%
Draws
39%
Estonia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Lithuania W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania W taking it.
  • Lithuania W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Estonia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Lithuania W vs Estonia W
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
0:2
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
3:2
Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 77 / 100
Estonia W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Estonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estonia W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lithuania W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania W scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Estonia W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Estonia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia W
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
05 Jun
Liechtenstein W
0 : 5
Estonia W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Liechtenstein W
10 Apr
Czech Republic U23 W
4 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania W 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 3 2 1 23:5 11
3 Estonia W 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 0 6 3:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo W 6 5 0 1 20:3 15
2 Croatia W 6 5 0 1 16:1 15
3 Bulgaria W 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 1:32 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hungary W 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Azerbaijan W 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 North Macedonia W 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Andorra W 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece W 4 4 0 0 11:4 12
2 Faroe Islands W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
3 Georgia W 4 0 0 4 4:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania W 4 3 1 0 8:0 10
2 Moldova W 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
3 Cyprus W 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus W 4 3 0 1 10:1 9
2 Kazakhstan W 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Armenia W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams