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Lithuania W vs Sweden W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Lithuania W at 1.21 goals for, 1.32 against; Sweden W at 2.03 for, 0.93 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 0.75) back Sweden W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lithuania W
35%
Draws
25%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sweden W lately — more wins on the board than Lithuania W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania W taking it.
  • Sweden W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Sweden W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.21 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 58 / 100
Sweden W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Sweden W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lithuania W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania W scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sweden W conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Sweden W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Sweden W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Sweden W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -