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Litija vs Adria Miren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Radonjic Z.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Ursic L.
81'
Humar K.

AI Match Summary

Litija in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Litija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Litija
20%
Draws
28%
Adria Miren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Litija haven't matched Adria Miren's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Litija taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Litija Clean Sheet 20%
Adria Miren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Litija Adria Miren
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. SNL - West
Litija vs Adria Miren
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Litija Compare

Top Goalscorer Ursic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mavretic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Adria Miren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Litija 85 / 100
Adria Miren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Litija Adria Miren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Litija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Litija stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Litija scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Defensive concern: Adria Miren conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Litija VS Adria Miren
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Litija

(Home)
04 Oct
Fama Vipava
0 : 4
Litija
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 2

Adria Miren

(Away)
03 Oct
IB 1975 Ljubljana
2 : 1
Adria Miren
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)