Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Litija vs Sencur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Litija host Sencur in the 3. SNL - West. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Litija at 1.5 goals for, 1.6 against; Sencur at 1.77 for, 1.26 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Sencur. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Litija
30%
Draws
33%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur have won more games recently than Litija.
  • Litija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Litija Clean Sheet 19%
Sencur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Litija Sencur
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Litija 85 / 100
Sencur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Litija Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Litija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Litija stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Litija's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Sencur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Sencur has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Litija VS Sencur
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Litija

(Home)
04 Oct
Fama Vipava
0 : 4
Litija
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 2

Sencur

(Away)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)