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Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ortega J.
Assist: Navascues L.
29'
Navascues L.
43'
Ortega J.

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Liverpool U19
15%
Draws
67%
Real Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Liverpool U19 haven't matched Real Madrid U19's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Real Madrid U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Liverpool U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U19 Real Madrid U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19
0:4
Nov 27, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19
0:1
Nov 4, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Liverpool U19
4:1
Oct 22, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U19 10 / 100
Real Madrid U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U19 Real Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Liverpool U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Real Madrid U19 has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Liverpool U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U19 VS Real Madrid U19
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Liverpool U19
2 : 2
Atl. Madrid U19
03 Feb
Zilina U19
2 : 1
Liverpool U19
09 Dec
Inter U19
5 : 0
Liverpool U19
26 Nov
Liverpool U19
1 : 0
PSV U19
04 Nov
Liverpool U19
0 : 4
Real Madrid U19
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Real Madrid U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)