Sport Picks

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Liverpool U21 vs Middlesbrough U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Figueroa K.
Assist: Pitt L.
32'
Lucky W.
35'
Sub
Carbon J. In: Campbell L.
Out: Carbon J.

AI Match Summary

Liverpool U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Liverpool U21
30%
Draws
29%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Liverpool U21 have won more games recently than Middlesbrough U21.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool U21 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U21 Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.29 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
4:2
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:4
Mar 7, 2016 Premier League U21
Middlesbrough U21 vs Liverpool U21
2:3
Feb 18, 2016 Premier League U21
Liverpool U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morrison K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Finch S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U21 65 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U21 Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool U21's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Middlesbrough U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Liverpool U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Liverpool U21
5 : 1
Brighton U21
14 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 0
Liverpool U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
21 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 1
Liverpool U21
01 Aug
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
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