Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Liverpool at 1.75 goals for, 1.64 against; Chelsea at 1.93 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Liverpool slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.88) back Liverpool to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelsea haven't matched Liverpool's recent run of results.
- Liverpool are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Liverpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Liverpool, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Chelsea
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Liverpool
2:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Liverpool
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Chelsea
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 EFL Cup
Chelsea vs Liverpool
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool 34 / 100
Chelsea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool Chelsea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Liverpool scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Liverpool remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool VS Chelsea
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6 Liverpool
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3 Manchester City
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
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20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3 Manchester City
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
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Chelsea
(Away) 17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1 Bournemouth
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
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17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
24 Aug
Fulham
2 : 3 Chelsea
09 Aug
Johor DT
3 : 3 Chelsea
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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