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Liverpool vs Fulham

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Anfield, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ngumoha R.
Assist: Wirtz F.
40' Event
Salah M.
Assist: Gakpo C.
46'
Sub
Jones C. In: Gravenberch R.
Out: Jones C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Liverpool and Fulham finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Liverpool
30%
Draws
27%
Fulham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Liverpool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 16%
Fulham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Fulham
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Fulham
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Fulham
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Liverpool
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Liverpool
3:2
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Fulham
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngumoha R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Fulham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 48 / 100
Fulham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Fulham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Liverpool has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fulham has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Fulham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
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Fulham

(Away)
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)