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Liverpool vs Sunderland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Premier League Summer Series Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Gomez J. In: Ndukwe I.
Out: Gomez J.
13' Event
Morrison K.
Assist: Elliott H.
20'
Ballard D.

AI Match Summary

Liverpool in this Premier League Summer Series matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Liverpool
20%
Draws
28%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunderland have won more games recently than Liverpool.
  • Model gives Liverpool a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 20%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Sunderland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Liverpool vs Sunderland
4:2
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Liverpool
0:1
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Sunderland
1:1
Jan 2, 2017 Premier League
Sunderland vs Liverpool
2:2
Nov 26, 2016 Premier League
Liverpool vs Sunderland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Fee E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuterov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 76 / 100
Sunderland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Liverpool remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Liverpool found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Sunderland conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Sunderland
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
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Sunderland

(Away)
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
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