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Liverpool vs Sunderland

World World

Premier League Summer Series Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Gomez J. In: Ndukwe I.
Out: Gomez J.
13' Event
Morrison K.
Assist: Elliott H.
20'
Ballard D.

AI Match Summary

Liverpool in this Premier League Summer Series matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Liverpool
33%
Draws
40%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool have won more games recently than Sunderland.
  • Model gives Sunderland a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Sunderland
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Liverpool vs Sunderland
4:2
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Liverpool
0:1
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Sunderland
1:1
Jan 2, 2017 Premier League
Sunderland vs Liverpool
2:2
Nov 26, 2016 Premier League
Liverpool vs Sunderland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Fee E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuterov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 26 / 100
Sunderland 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sunderland conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Liverpool stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Sunderland
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2
Liverpool
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Liverpool
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Sunderland

(Away)
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5
Sunderland
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1
Chelsea
17 May
Everton
1 : 3
Sunderland
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0
Manchester United
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