Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livingston vs Aberdeen

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Livingston Logo

Livingston

2 - 2
FT
Aberdeen Logo

Aberdeen

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Frame M.
Assist: Geiger D.
46'
Sub
May S. In: Pittman S.
Out: May S.
46'
Sub
Wilson D. In: Tait M.
Out: Wilson D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Livingston
30%
Draws
43%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen have won more games recently than Livingston.
  • Model gives Aberdeen a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Livingston Clean Sheet 19%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Aberdeen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premiership
Livingston vs Aberdeen
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Livingston
6:2
Nov 30, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Aberdeen
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Livingston
0:0
May 15, 2024 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Livingston
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouble J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muirhead R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Frame M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 28 / 100
Aberdeen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Livingston's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aberdeen conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Livingston has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Aberdeen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

Aberdeen

(Away)
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)